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    by Published on 06-21-2011 03:11 PM

    Discussion of health insurance has shown up on this forum again recently, specifically in regards to US government policy and social benefits. Mostly people are divided into two camps, those who think that the government should pay all health benefits for everyone, damn the costs, and those who think that the costs for such a plan are too high, damn the benefits.

    If I can be forgiven for using the dirty ‘c’ word, I’d like to propose a compromise that has not seen much play around here. Instead of pushing for full government coverage for everyone, why not try for government funded catastrophic health insurance for everyone?

    In case anyone doesn’t know, catastrophic health insurance is a type of plan that has a very high annual deductible, but covers everything or nearly everything after that. The plan holder is responsible for the first bunch of costs accrued in a year, and then the insurance provider takes over payment. Essentially, it only covers serious medical problems, and doesn’t do really anything for the day-to-day ailments.

    Such a plan would seem to meet most of the stated requirements for both camps. For those who oppose government run healthcare, a government catastrophic insurance plan would have much lower costs, and would not significantly increase the demands on our already overburdened health system. Because the government insurance doesn’t kick in until costs are already high, people won’t be running to their doctor for free full body MRIs every time they get a case of the sniffles; people still have a financial motivator to remain responsible about their utilization of health care resources. We’ll get to keep what motivators we have for the health care providers to compete on costs and services. We’re at greatly reduced risks of facing health care rationing. Such a plan would also not cost nearly as much as a full coverage government plan – the actual amount depending on where we set the point for government payments to kick in, of course.

    For those who supported government run healthcare, you also get most of what you want. It’s going to be a lot harder to go bankrupt from medical bills even when uninsured, since the government will take over payment after a certain point. Additionally, since the government is covering costs after a certain point, private insurers have a known limit to how much they could possibly have to pay out in a given year, which will help drive private insurance costs way down for everybody. It’ll be a lot cheaper and easier to get insurance to cover everything before the government pay out kicks in.

    I’m sure there’ll be resistance to that idea, since neither side gets everything they want. This is still another expense for the government, and it still means an expansion of the bureaucracy. People will still have to plan for some of their own health expenses in some way, and the private insurance industry will survive. However, a plan like this would get everyone almost all of what they want – much lower individual costs at a societal cost not too much higher. Beyond an unwillingness to ever do anything as uncomfortable as compromising with one’s ideological adversaries, is there any reason this doesn’t bear further pursuit?
    by Published on 02-27-2011 09:16 PM

    In 1978, China's government formally decided on an economic path called the "Four Modernizations". China aimed to develop both economically and militarily through trade; in terms of US relations, China would put its massive labor force to work in producing things Americans wanted in exchange for US currency, US technology, and industrial production know-how. A peg on the powerful US dollar allowed China's economy and government to grow and remain stable. The high Chinese private and public savings rate caused by this pegging policy promoted stability in the Chinese economy at the expense of both private and public consumption of goods and services.

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    by Published on 01-17-2011 02:07 PM

    Sometimes in debates on various issues, either side of the debate can claim a broken record as strong evidence/proof of their point of view - whether we're talking about politics, economics, science, sport or anything else. The reality is that we have enough events and ways of measuring them that simply from a normal distribution records will regularly be broken in something, without being anything else than just normal. If you highlight the specific issue after the fact then the odds of it happening may have been extremely low - but we don't however notice the absence of anything special happening, that gets taken for granted, so just the extremes get noticed and assumed to mean something strange is happening.

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    by Published on 01-09-2011 10:19 PM

    Reading this article reminds me that it is often easiest to ignore the people who need help the most. It’s not that I don’t think south Sudan deserves independence. The death and destruction from the Sudanese civil war was obscene. However, the idea ...
    by Published on 11-21-2010 02:14 AM

    The New York Times ran a front page article last Sunday (Reading Earth's Future in Glacial Ice -- Rising Seas Predicted as Threat to Coastal Areas -November 14, 2010) about how climate scientists are seeing more evidence they may have seriously undercalled the melting rates of Greenland and Antarctica. The previous estimate of average sea level rise through 2100, generated from apparently conservative computer models, was a modest and safe seven inches. Over the past few years they have taken measurements to validate and improve the models and the resulting analysis suggested a sea level rise of a startling fifteen feet. That got a lot of attention and more studies followed, models were reworked, more data was added. The result was a predicted conservative sea level rise of three feet and a possible worst case of six feet.

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    by Published on 09-14-2010 03:40 PM

    So I've been thinking about the concept of revenge lately.

    Recently, discussing a man who tortured and repeatedly raped a retarded girl over a period of several years, Catgirl expressed the sentiment that torturing the man in turn would be a good thing. Termite identified this as vengeance.

    What baffled me was her characterization of the man in question as a disgusting piece of filth, while simultaneously approving of actions akin to his in a different context.

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    by Published on 08-24-2010 02:23 PM

    A British prime minister once remarked that countries don’t have permanent friends or permanent enemies, but only permanent interests. Sadly, this insight has all but vanished from the popular imagination, with expectations about inter-state relations being some function of the present amity or enmity between a set of countries. This naïve view is little different to that described in the dystopia 1984, where the protagonist’s government claims to have always been an ally of one country and enemy of another, just to switch the two labels whenever it decided to change its warring partner.

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